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How many coronavirus cases are there in your area?

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By The Visual and Data Journalism TeamBBC NewsPublishedduration2 hours agoThere have been more than 2.5 million confirmed cases of coronavirus in the UK and nearly 75,000 people have died, government figures show.However, these figures include only people who have died within 28 days of testing positive for coronavirus and other measures suggest the number of…

By The Visual and Data Journalism Team
BBC News

Published

There have been more than 2.5 million confirmed cases of coronavirus in the UK and nearly 75,000 people have died, government figures show.

However, these figures include only people who have died within 28 days of testing positive for coronavirus and other measures suggest the number of deaths is higher.

Find out how the pandemic has affected your area and how it compares with the national average:

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Daily cases at record level

Coronavirus cases are now rising fast again, driven by a new variant of the virus thought to be much more easily transmissible than other strains.

A further 57,725 confirmed cases were announced by the government on Saturday.

The sharp rise in numbers is partly down to a lag in reporting over the holiday period but, according to Public Health England, is “largely a reflection of a real increase”.

It is thought the infection rate was much higher than was evident from the reported number of cases during the first peak in spring. Testing capacity was too limited to detect the true number of daily cases.

After the first peak in April, infections started rising again in July, with the rate of growth increasing sharply in September and October. It fell in November before rising steeply in December.

Prof Andrew Goddard, of the Royal College of Physicians, said the virus’s new variant was spreading nationwide and he expected further rises in case numbers over the coming days.

Although the new variant is now spreading more rapidly than the original version, it is not believed to be more deadly.

Where are cases high?

Cases are rising most quickly in Wales where about one in 60 people have the virus, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Cases in Northern Ireland are also up.

Meanwhile, London, the South East and East have the highest estimated rate of people with coronavirus in England.

The darker orange and red areas on the map below show the areas currently seeing the highest number of cases per 100,000 people.

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Deaths rising again

The average number of daily deaths began to rise again in September, following the first peak in Spring.

On Saturday, the government announced a further 445 deaths.

Of those, 349 were in England, 70 in Wales and 26 in Northern Ireland. There were no deaths reported in Scotland, due to the holiday period.

Rules were amended over the summer to include deaths in the coronavirus total only if they occurred within 28 days of a positive test. Previously in England, all deaths after a positive test were included.

England has seen the majority of UK deaths from Covid-19. Using the 28-day cut-off, there have been nearly 65,000.

Hospitals under increasing pressure

The number of Covid-19 patients in hospitals across the UK has risen sharply in recent weeks and is now above the level seen in the spring.

NHS England’s Chief Health Executive Sir Simon Stevens has said that health workers are now “back in the eye of the storm” as coronavirus cases rise.

However, the picture does vary among the nations and regions.

London, the South East and the East of England have seen the biggest increases in recent weeks.

It is hoped the rollout of two vaccines against Covid-19 to the most vulnerable in the UK will help reduce the number of people requiring hospital treatment.

The latest government data shows that more than 900,000 people in the UK had received a vaccination by 27 December.

Control measures tightened further

Restrictions were increased across the UK this week in an effort to tackle the rising number of cases.

In England, three quarters of the population are now under new, higher “tier four” measures. Other areas were moved up to tier three.

The whole of Wales has been placed under lockdown, Northern Ireland began a new six-week lockdown on Boxing Day and Scotland moved to its toughest level four restrictions the same day.

In addition, secondary schools across most of England will remain closed after the Christmas break for an extra two weeks for most pupils, and primaries will stay closed temporarily in some areas with the highest infection rates.

Death toll could be above 80,000

When looking at the overall death toll from coronavirus, official figures count deaths in three different ways.

Government figures count people who died within 28 days of testing positive for coronavirus.

But there are two other measures.

The first includes all deaths where coronavirus was mentioned on the death certificate, even if the person had not been tested for the virus. The most recent figures suggest there had been more than 82,000 deaths by 18 December.

The second measure counts all deaths over and above the usual number at the time of year – that figure was nearly 83,000 by the same date.

The most recent figures available from the ONS are for the week ending 18 December, which show there were 14,627 deaths registered in the UK.

Some 3,300 of these deaths involved Covid-19 – up from just over 3,000 the previous week.

Deaths normally do rise at this time of the year, but the data from the ONS and its counterparts in Scotland and Northern Ireland show the second wave of the virus has pushed the death rate above the average seen over the past five years by about 11%.

Overall, the figures are still well below the peak of 9,495 Covid-19 related deaths recorded in a week, reached on 17 April.

What is the R number in the UK?

The “R number” is the average number of people an infected person will pass the disease on to.

If R is below one, then the number of people contracting the disease will fall; if it is above one, the number will grow.

The government’s current estimate for the R number across the whole of the UK is 1.1 to 1.3.

The estimate for England is 1.1 to 1.4, Scotland is 0.9 to 1.1, Wales is 1.0 to 1.3 and in Northern Ireland it is 1.05 to 1.25.

The government has said in the past that the R number is one of the most important factors in making policy decisions.

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